Friday Fight · BO1
result vs prediction
Falcons Staffloss 0:1series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:1
BetBoom staffwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Falcons Staff
No games played over 6 months.
BetBoom staff
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
506 picks · 649 bans
Phoenix
497 picks · 800 bans
Clockwerk
483 picks · 481 bans
Batrider
452 picks · 552 bans
Muerta
426 picks · 364 bans
Magnus
422 picks · 1012 bans
Gyrocopter
395 picks · 762 bans
Bristleback
385 picks · 911 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 71%
Hero pool strength50% Falcons Staff
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% BetBoom staff
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Falcons Staff 36%BetBoom staff 64%
The model gave 64% on BetBoom staff — the game was taken by BetBoom staff.
Model check result
Model favoriteBetBoom staff · 64%
Series resultBetBoom staff 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1