Friday Fight · BO1
result vs prediction
BetBoom staffwin 1:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:0
KIBER staffloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BetBoom staff
No games played over 6 months.
KIBER staff
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
506 picks · 645 bans
Phoenix
497 picks · 800 bans
Clockwerk
482 picks · 481 bans
Batrider
450 picks · 552 bans
Muerta
425 picks · 364 bans
Magnus
420 picks · 1011 bans
Gyrocopter
395 picks · 760 bans
Bristleback
385 picks · 911 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% BetBoom staff
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% BetBoom staff
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:41
BetBoom staff 62%KIBER staff 38%
The model gave 62% on BetBoom staff — the game was taken by BetBoom staff in 41:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteBetBoom staff · 62%
Series resultBetBoom staff 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1