?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 25 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:0
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 29 games
62%
Batrider
Batridersignature
rue · 28 games
64%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Satanic · 25 games
56%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Larl · 24 games
83%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Miposhka · 23 games
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 22 games
68%
Tusk
Tusk
Miposhka · 22 games
50%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Larl · 21 game
62%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 32 games
75%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 29 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 28 games
82%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 23 games
70%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 21 game
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Pure~ · 19 games
68%
Lich
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
74%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
511 picks · 631 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
508 picks · 805 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
486 picks · 490 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
456 picks · 562 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
433 picks · 369 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
426 picks · 1023 bans
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
406 picks · 769 bans
56%
Lich
Lich
390 picks · 210 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 61%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 3
Model total51% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:16
Team Spirit 51%BETBOOM TEAM 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 40:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerYatoro
52% · 174 games45% · 219 games
GyrocopterPure~
Gyrocopter
Leshrac
LeshracLarl
49% · 171 game50% · 294 games
PangoliergpK~
Pangolier
Sand King
Sand KingCollapse
54% · 170 games45% · 154 games
Primal BeastMieRo
Primal Beast
Grimstroke
Grimstrokerue
49% · 165 games50% · 55 games
IoKataomi
Io
Warlock
WarlockMiposhka
51% · 75 games62% · 33 games
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction missed38:24
Team Spirit 47%BETBOOM TEAM 53%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 35:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordYatoro
45% · 97 games48% · 71 game
Phantom AssassinPure~
Phantom Assassin
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainLarl
45% · 30 games52% · 34 games
Void SpiritgpK~
Void Spirit
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerCollapse
48% · 59 games55% · 76 games
Dark SeerMieRo
Dark Seer
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunterrue
52% · 30 games51% · 56 games
MarciSave-
Marci
Warlock
WarlockMiposhka
52% · 30 games70% · 9 games
Winter WyvernKataomi
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 51%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2