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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 0:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
ATF · 44 games
59%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 41 game
66%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 40 games
88%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 39 games
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 34 games
62%
Razor
Razorsignature
ATF · 29 games
66%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Cr1t- · 28 games
61%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 26 games
73%

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 25 games
80%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 22 games
45%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 22 games
82%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 22 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 21 game
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 21 game
71%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 20 games
55%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 20 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
513 picks · 628 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
511 picks · 804 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
486 picks · 491 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
460 picks · 564 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
432 picks · 369 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
427 picks · 1019 bans
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
408 picks · 770 bans
56%
Lich
Lich
390 picks · 210 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% PARIVISION
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total62% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:35
Team Falcons 56%PARIVISION 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 41:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracSumaiL
55% · 110 games51% · 268 games
MorphlingSatanic
Morphling
Razor
RazorSkiter
48% · 135 games52% · 140 games
BristlebackDM
Bristleback
Pangolier
PangolierATF
44% · 421 game58% · 188 games
Storm SpiritNo[o]ne
Storm Spirit
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterCr1t-
45% · 58 games49% · 96 games
Techies9Class
Techies
Warlock
WarlockSneyking
48% · 53 games47% · 85 games
JakiroDukalis
Jakiro
Game 2prediction missed22:55
Team Falcons 55%PARIVISION 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 39:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainSumaiL
45% · 102 games54% · 95 games
Phantom AssassinSatanic
Phantom Assassin
Lifestealer
LifestealerSkiter
51% · 200 games48% · 186 games
Centaur WarrunnerDM
Centaur Warrunner
Bristleback
BristlebackATF
50% · 240 games49% · 288 games
PangolierNo[o]ne
Pangolier
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterCr1t-
58% · 72 games47% · 330 games
Batrider9Class
Batrider
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSneyking
49% · 339 games50% · 54 games
JakiroDukalis
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 62%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2