European Pro League Season 38 · BO3
result vs prediction
Power Rangerswin 2:0series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Hive-loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Power Rangers
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 38 games
Tiny
nicky`cool · 37 games
Phoenixoften banned
Immersion · 30 games
Chensignature
Hduo · 29 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 28 games
Tusk
Immersion · 24 games
Hoodwinksignature
Immersion · 21 game
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 20 games
Hive-
Rubick
xsvampire · 7 games
Ringmaster
slimeyao · 6 games
Tiny
byun · 6 games
Hoodwink
slimeyao · 5 games
Phoenixoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 5 games
Enchantressoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 4 games
Chenoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 3 games
Kezoften banned
byun · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
632 picks · 434 bans
Rubick
577 picks · 318 bans
Phoenix
480 picks · 574 bans
Pangolier
449 picks · 656 bans
Tiny
443 picks · 383 bans
Ember Spirit
356 picks · 519 bans
Puck
341 picks · 1033 bans
Storm Spirit
341 picks · 409 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 38%
Hero pool strength64% Power Rangers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:14
Power Rangers 80%Hive- 20%
The model gave 80% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 28:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetTA2000
Drow Rangerbyun
BeastmasterAlberkaaa
Snapfirexsvampire
Queen of Painnicky`cool
Winter Wyvernkur0patbI4
TuskImmersion
BaneHduo
Game 2prediction correct29:16
Power Rangers 81%Hive- 19%
The model gave 81% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 26:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendTA2000
Nature's Prophetbyun
DawnbreakerAlberkaaa
Enchantresskur0patbI4
Tinynicky`cool
Rubickxsvampire
ChenHduo
WindrangerImmersion
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 93%
Series resultPower Rangers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2