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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Shopify Rebellionloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 31 game
74%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 29 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 26 games
81%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 23 games
70%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 20 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Pure~ · 19 games
68%

Shopify Rebellion

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Timado · 18 games
72%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Hellscream · 17 games
59%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 17 games
71%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
mangekyou · 16 games
63%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Yopaj · 16 games
56%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Timado · 14 games
43%
Visage
Visageoften banned
mangekyou · 13 games
38%
Zeus
Zeussignature
Skem · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
516 picks · 803 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
515 picks · 627 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
493 picks · 498 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
468 picks · 566 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
433 picks · 368 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
430 picks · 1011 bans
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
414 picks · 780 bans
56%
Lich
Lich
393 picks · 211 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 46%
Hero pool strength56% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head5 – 0
Model total79% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:17
BETBOOM TEAM 66%Shopify Rebellion 34%
The model gave 66% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pudge
PudgePure~
49% · 49 games48% · 159 games
BeastmasterPakazs
Beastmaster
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritgpK~
43% · 250 games53% · 129 games
TerrorbladeTimado
Terrorblade
Abaddon
AbaddonMieRo
38% · 69 games53% · 210 games
PangolierYopaj
Pangolier
Io
IoKataomi
55% · 67 games57% · 45 games
WarlockSkem
Warlock
Muerta
MuertaSave-
52% · 279 games53% · 171 game
Dark WillowHellscream
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct29:18
BETBOOM TEAM 68%Shopify Rebellion 32%
The model gave 68% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 37:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracgpK~
44% · 60 gameslittle data
Phantom LancerTimado
Phantom Lancer
Earthshaker
EarthshakerPure~
51% · 45 games53% · 143 games
Storm SpiritYopaj
Storm Spirit
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
50% · 126 games65% · 15 games
Legion CommanderPakazs
Legion Commander
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
40% · 76 gameslittle data
RingmasterHellscream
Ringmaster
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSave-
51% · 34 games51% · 183 games
EnchantressSkem
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 79%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2