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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONloss 1:1
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 24 games
79%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 22 games
45%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 22 games
64%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 21 game
81%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 21 game
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 20 games
55%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 20 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 20 games
70%

BOOM Esports

Lion
Lionsignature
Tims · 25 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Mac · 23 games
57%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Tims · 22 games
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Jaunuel · 21 game
71%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
Mac · 21 game
57%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Fbz · 20 games
55%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Mac · 17 games
65%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
JaCkky · 16 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
520 picks · 801 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
516 picks · 623 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
496 picks · 507 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
470 picks · 569 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
435 picks · 369 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
433 picks · 1011 bans
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
418 picks · 783 bans
56%
Bristleback
Bristleback
393 picks · 905 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 48%
Hero pool strength55% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:7
PARIVISION 55%BOOM Esports 45%
The model gave 55% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 22:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingSatanic
50% · 282 games46% · 138 games
LinaMac
Lina
Magnus
MagnusNo[o]ne
51% · 188 games53% · 228 games
BristlebackJaCkky
Bristleback
Tidehunter
TidehunterDM
54% · 71 game45% · 395 games
PangolierFbz
Pangolier
Tusk
Tusk9Class
50% · 224 games51% · 69 games
Bounty HunterTims
Bounty Hunter
Chen
ChenDukalis
56% · 141 game45% · 76 games
WarlockJaunuel
Warlock
Game 2prediction missed19:29
PARIVISION 54%BOOM Esports 46%
The model gave 54% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 41:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightSatanic
48% · 338 games54% · 248 games
LifestealerJaCkky
Lifestealer
Tiny
TinyNo[o]ne
47% · 460 games57% · 152 games
EarthshakerMac
Earthshaker
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDM
47% · 280 games52% · 337 games
DoomFbz
Doom
Muerta
Muerta9Class
44% · 206 games55% · 76 games
Bounty HunterTims
Bounty Hunter
Venomancer
VenomancerDukalis
50% · 51 game48% · 522 games
BatriderJaunuel
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2