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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Heroicloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 31 game
74%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 29 games
59%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 24 games
79%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 23 games
70%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 20 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Pure~ · 19 games
68%

Heroic

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
4nalog · 30 games
60%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 26 games
69%
Lion
Lion
Scofield · 19 games
58%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Scofield · 19 games
63%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Wisper · 17 games
71%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
4nalog · 16 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
KJ · 16 games
63%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Scofield · 16 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
519 picks · 798 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
514 picks · 622 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
495 picks · 505 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
470 picks · 568 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
435 picks · 369 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
433 picks · 1009 bans
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
417 picks · 780 bans
56%
Bristleback
Bristleback
393 picks · 901 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 61%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total72% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:17
BETBOOM TEAM 62%Heroic 38%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 36:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterPure~
47% · 213 games54% · 197 games
Monkey King4nalog
Monkey King
Lina
LinagpK~
52% · 103 games42% · 59 games
AbaddonYuma
Abaddon
Dark Seer
Dark SeerMieRo
46% · 78 games52% · 145 games
EnigmaWisper
Enigma
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinSave-
50% · 114 games50% · 76 games
MarciScofield
Marci
Lich
LichKataomi
44% · 99 games61% · 130 games
ChenKJ
Chen
Game 2prediction correct37:14
BETBOOM TEAM 64%Heroic 36%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingPure~
54% · 199 games49% · 55 games
Chaos KnightYuma
Chaos Knight
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
53% · 244 games44% · 23 games
Huskar4nalog
Huskar
Viper
VipergpK~
50% · 45 games39% · 50 games
AbaddonWisper
Abaddon
Riki
RikiSave-
57% · 54 games45% · 185 games
EnchantressKJ
Enchantress
Lich
LichKataomi
53% · 129 games52% · 358 games
ClockwerkScofield
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 72%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2