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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONloss 1:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Yakult Brothersloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 24 games
79%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 22 games
45%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 22 games
64%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 21 game
81%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 21 game
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 20 games
55%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 20 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 20 games
70%

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
BoBoKa · 33 games
58%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
天命 · 24 games
58%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 22 games
73%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 22 games
59%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
BoBoKa · 21 game
43%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Emo · 21 game
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
zeal · 18 games
61%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 18 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
516 picks · 793 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
512 picks · 615 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
491 picks · 508 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
467 picks · 567 bans
49%
Muerta
Muerta
434 picks · 371 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
430 picks · 1008 bans
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
419 picks · 778 bans
56%
Lich
Lich
391 picks · 211 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 57%
Hero pool strength54% PARIVISION
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total56% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:12
PARIVISION 53%Yakult Brothers 47%
The model gave 53% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 24:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenSatanic
50% · 145 games52% · 197 games
PuckEmo
Puck
Monkey King
Monkey KingNo[o]ne
51% · 258 games59% · 48 games
LycanAme
Lycan
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeDM
41% · 233 games49% · 175 games
Bristlebackzeal
Bristleback
Venomancer
VenomancerDukalis
55% · 58 games50% · 285 games
BatriderBoBoKa
Batrider
Tusk
Tusk9Class
46% · 375 games51% · 364 games
Clockwerk天命
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction missed8:27
PARIVISION 54%Yakult Brothers 46%
The model gave 54% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 31:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinSatanic
47% · 167 games51% · 183 games
AlchemistAme
Alchemist
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightNo[o]ne
47% · 352 games57% · 128 games
EarthshakerEmo
Earthshaker
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeDM
49% · 164 games56% · 231 game
Bristlebackzeal
Bristleback
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter9Class
58% · 81 game49% · 245 games
LionBoBoKa
Lion
Pugna
PugnaDukalis
52% · 161 game36% · 138 games
Zeus天命
Zeus
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2