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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 31 game
74%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 29 games
59%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 24 games
79%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
73%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 20 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Pure~ · 19 games
68%

Tundra Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Whitemon · 33 games
61%
Tusk
Tusk
Whitemon · 33 games
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 32 games
63%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 31 game
77%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
33 · 28 games
68%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
33 · 28 games
64%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 26 games
69%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Saksa · 24 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
513 picks · 788 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
509 picks · 613 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
488 picks · 505 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
466 picks · 567 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
434 picks · 370 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
430 picks · 1002 bans
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
416 picks · 776 bans
56%
Lich
Lich
391 picks · 211 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 79%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head4 – 8
Model total67% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:49
BETBOOM TEAM 42%Tundra Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 54:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerPure~
58% · 60 games50% · 28 games
Chaos Knightdyrachyo
Chaos Knight
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerMieRo
45% · 123 games42% · 169 games
Doom33
Doom
Invoker
InvokergpK~
51% · 178 games48% · 273 games
Tinybzm
Tiny
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinSave-
50% · 132 games53% · 79 games
Elder TitanWhitemon
Elder Titan
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiKataomi
55% · 88 games55% · 32 games
LeshracSaksa
Leshrac
Game 2prediction correct27:49
BETBOOM TEAM 40%Tundra Esports 60%
The model gave 60% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 1:03:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckgpK~
50% · 274 games49% · 254 games
Gyrocopterdyrachyo
Gyrocopter
Sniper
SniperPure~
48% · 217 games49% · 340 games
Dragon Knightbzm
Dragon Knight
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
51% · 369 games50% · 245 games
Doom33
Doom
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterKataomi
45% · 85 games46% · 340 games
ClockwerkSaksa
Clockwerk
Lion
LionSave-
55% · 346 games55% · 112 games
Elder TitanWhitemon
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 67%
Series resultTundra Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2