The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Nemesisloss 0:2series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PlayTimewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Nemesis
Tinysignature
rubikon155 · 25 games
Slardarsignature
Jabz · 18 games
Pangolieroften banned
Jabz · 17 games
Windranger
Q · 17 games
Muertaoften banned
23savage · 15 games
Tusk
Jhocam · 15 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Mac · 14 games
Hoodwinksignature
Lelis · 13 games
PlayTime
Tusk
DJ · 17 games
Hoodwink
Scofield · 15 games
Enchantresssignature
Elmisho · 13 games
Phoenixoften banned
Elmisho · 12 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Wits · 12 games
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 11 games
Ember Spiritsignature
DarkMago · 10 games
Vipersignature
Armel · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
634 picks · 436 bans
Rubick
572 picks · 316 bans
Phoenix
482 picks · 579 bans
Tiny
449 picks · 387 bans
Pangolier
443 picks · 655 bans
Ember Spirit
354 picks · 524 bans
Puck
346 picks · 1031 bans
Storm Spirit
341 picks · 408 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 53%
Hero pool strength54% Team Nemesis
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total83% PlayTime
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:28
Team Nemesis 34%PlayTime 66%
The model gave 66% on PlayTime — the game was taken by PlayTime in 37:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet4nalog
TinyWits
Windrangerrubikon155
PangolierDarkMago
SlardarJabz
Centaur WarrunnerFrank
Keeper of the LightLelis
TuskScofield
EnchantressYamSun
BatriderElmisho
Game 2prediction correct12:38
Team Nemesis 33%PlayTime 67%
The model gave 67% on PlayTime — the game was taken by PlayTime in 34:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkzrubikon155
WindrangerWits
Ember Spirit4nalog
KunkkaDarkMago
PangolierJabz
BeastmasterFrank
HoodwinkLelis
Skywrath MageScofield
Winter WyvernYamSun
BaneElmisho
Model check result
Model favoritePlayTime · 83%
Series resultPlayTime 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2