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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
Yakult Brothersloss 1:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
BoBoKa · 33 games
58%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
天命 · 24 games
58%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 22 games
73%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 22 games
59%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
BoBoKa · 21 game
43%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Emo · 21 game
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
zeal · 17 games
59%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 17 games
71%

Gaimin Gladiators

Muerta
Muertasignature
tOfu · 32 games
66%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 20 games
65%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Watson · 17 games
41%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Watson · 17 games
59%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Quinn · 17 games
53%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Seleri · 16 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Ace · 16 games
44%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Quinn · 16 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
518 picks · 786 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
508 picks · 609 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
495 picks · 509 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
470 picks · 570 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
440 picks · 373 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
432 picks · 1001 bans
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
417 picks · 782 bans
56%
Bristleback
Bristleback
391 picks · 895 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 53%
Hero pool strength52% Yakult Brothers
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total51% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:35
Yakult Brothers 52%Gaimin Gladiators 48%
The model gave 52% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 33:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeAme
47% · 192 games49% · 139 games
Templar AssassinWatson
Templar Assassin
Monkey King
Monkey KingEmo
53% · 226 games41% · 82 games
Queen of PainQuinn
Queen of Pain
Magnus
Magnuszeal
53% · 222 games53% · 60 games
LycanAce
Lycan
Warlock
Warlock天命
47% · 59 games50% · 174 games
RubicktOfu
Rubick
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanBoBoKa
57% · 64 games51% · 308 games
ClockwerkMalady
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct30:8
Yakult Brothers 52%Gaimin Gladiators 48%
The model gave 52% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 30:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterAme
53% · 304 games54% · 202 games
GyrocopterWatson
Gyrocopter
Lina
LinaEmo
47% · 127 games49% · 103 games
Templar AssassinQuinn
Templar Assassin
Venomancer
VenomancerBoBoKa
56% · 30 games41% · 131 game
DawnbreakerAce
Dawnbreaker
Night Stalker
Night Stalkerzeal
54% · 73 games44% · 149 games
TusktOfu
Tusk
Elder Titan
Elder Titan天命
57% · 120 games48% · 69 games
Ogre MagiMalady
Ogre Magi
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 51%
Accuracy by game1 of 2