DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PARIVISION
Batridersignature
9Class · 24 games
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 22 games
Enigmasignature
DM · 22 games
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 21 game
Chensignature
Dukalis · 20 games
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 20 games
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 19 games
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 19 games
Gaimin Gladiators
Muertasignature
tOfu · 32 games
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 20 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Watson · 17 games
Morphlingoften banned
Watson · 17 games
Chenoften banned
Seleri · 16 games
Doomoften banned
Ace · 16 games
Invokeroften banned
Quinn · 16 games
Sniperoften banned
tOfu · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
520 picks · 779 bans
Tiny
502 picks · 604 bans
Clockwerk
489 picks · 511 bans
Batrider
474 picks · 571 bans
Muerta
440 picks · 377 bans
Magnus
433 picks · 992 bans
Gyrocopter
421 picks · 780 bans
Lich
388 picks · 211 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 55%
Hero pool strength57% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total61% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:14
PARIVISION 57%Gaimin Gladiators 43%
The model gave 57% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 40:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LycanSatanic
SniperQuinn
TinyNo[o]ne
SlarkWatson
BristlebackDM
BeastmasterAce
Riki9Class
Nyx AssassintOfu
ChenDukalis
WarlockMalady
Game 2prediction correct33:31
PARIVISION 57%Gaimin Gladiators 43%
The model gave 57% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 57:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinSatanic
BloodseekerWatson
Monkey KingNo[o]ne
LinaQuinn
Centaur WarrunnerDM
MagnusAce
VenomancerDukalis
Bounty HuntertOfu
Morphling9Class
ZeusMalady
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 61%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2