?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
Yakult Brothersloss 1:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Liquidloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
BoBoKa · 33 games
58%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
天命 · 24 games
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 22 games
59%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
BoBoKa · 21 game
43%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Emo · 21 game
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 21 game
76%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
zeal · 17 games
59%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 17 games
71%

Team Liquid

Muerta
Muerta
Boxi · 26 games
46%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 25 games
72%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
SabeRLight- · 24 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
iNSaNiA · 23 games
61%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 22 games
59%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 22 games
64%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 22 games
68%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Nisha · 20 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
520 picks · 779 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
502 picks · 604 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
489 picks · 511 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
474 picks · 571 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
440 picks · 377 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
433 picks · 992 bans
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
421 picks · 780 bans
56%
Lich
Lich
388 picks · 211 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Team Liquid
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total59% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:25
Yakult Brothers 52%Team Liquid 48%
The model gave 52% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 19:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightAme
40% · 249 games52% · 221 game
BristlebackmiCKe
Bristleback
Puck
PuckEmo
54% · 134 games58% · 108 games
Dark SeerSabeRLight-
Dark Seer
Terrorblade
Terrorbladezeal
41% · 106 games57% · 132 games
EarthshakerNisha
Earthshaker
Riki
RikiBoBoKa
47% · 41 game55% · 101 game
Nyx AssassinBoxi
Nyx Assassin
Lich
Lich天命
43% · 111 games54% · 79 games
JakiroiNSaNiA
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct35:22
Yakult Brothers 55%Team Liquid 45%
The model gave 55% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 45:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerAme
61% · 103 games48% · 82 games
AlchemistmiCKe
Alchemist
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainEmo
46% · 78 games55% · 99 games
InvokerNisha
Invoker
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakerzeal
49% · 126 games42% · 42 games
SlardarSabeRLight-
Slardar
Warlock
Warlock天命
49% · 41 game41% · 89 games
ZeusiNSaNiA
Zeus
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinBoBoKa
56% · 108 games45% · 144 games
TuskBoxi
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 59%
Accuracy by game1 of 2