?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BOOM Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Muerta
Muertasignature
tOfu · 30 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 20 games
65%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Watson · 17 games
59%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Seleri · 16 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Quinn · 16 games
56%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Ace · 15 games
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Watson · 15 games
40%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 15 games
33%

BOOM Esports

Lion
Lionsignature
Tims · 24 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Jaunuel · 20 games
75%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Mac · 20 games
60%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Fbz · 20 games
55%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Mac · 20 games
60%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Tims · 18 games
61%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Mac · 15 games
73%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
JaCkky · 14 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
526 picks · 778 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
499 picks · 593 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
495 picks · 535 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
481 picks · 598 bans
49%
Muerta
Muerta
461 picks · 391 bans
50%
Magnus
Magnus
439 picks · 991 bans
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
434 picks · 792 bans
57%
Bristleback
Bristleback
390 picks · 898 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 55%
Hero pool strength55% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total66% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:9
Gaimin Gladiators 56%BOOM Esports 44%
The model gave 56% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 34:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistWatson
51% · 235 games54% · 68 games
TerrorbladeJaCkky
Terrorblade
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainQuinn
40% · 119 games52% · 84 games
TimbersawFbz
Timbersaw
Abaddon
AbaddonAce
40% · 60 games49% · 144 games
TinyMac
Tiny
Warlock
WarlockMalady
58% · 78 games50% · 167 games
BatriderTims
Batrider
Riki
RikitOfu
58% · 39 games52% · 68 games
PugnaJaunuel
Pugna
Game 2prediction correct29:14
Gaimin Gladiators 56%BOOM Esports 44%
The model gave 56% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 39:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckQuinn
54% · 272 games49% · 202 games
MorphlingJaCkky
Morphling
Lycan
LycanAce
60% · 65 games43% · 140 games
Earth SpiritMac
Earth Spirit
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinWatson
43% · 121 game52% · 57 games
Dark SeerFbz
Dark Seer
Muerta
MuertatOfu
48% · 320 games50% · 308 games
PhoenixJaunuel
Phoenix
Zeus
ZeusMalady
54% · 109 games51% · 180 games
TuskTims
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 66%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2