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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONloss 1:1
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Liquidloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 24 games
79%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 20 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 20 games
70%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 20 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 20 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 19 games
53%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 19 games
84%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 18 games
67%

Team Liquid

Muerta
Muerta
Boxi · 26 games
46%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 25 games
72%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
SabeRLight- · 24 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
iNSaNiA · 23 games
61%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 22 games
59%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 22 games
64%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 22 games
68%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Nisha · 20 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
526 picks · 776 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
499 picks · 591 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
495 picks · 534 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
480 picks · 598 bans
49%
Muerta
Muerta
461 picks · 391 bans
50%
Magnus
Magnus
439 picks · 989 bans
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
434 picks · 792 bans
57%
Lich
Lich
390 picks · 211 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 54%
Hero pool strength55% PARIVISION
Head-to-head6 – 1
Model total61% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct46:35
PARIVISION 57%Team Liquid 43%
The model gave 57% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 44:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinSatanic
52% · 65 games46% · 134 games
Monkey KingmiCKe
Monkey King
Enigma
EnigmaDM
58% · 157 games52% · 142 games
PuckNisha
Puck
Invoker
InvokerNo[o]ne
51% · 165 games44% · 115 games
Centaur WarrunnerSabeRLight-
Centaur Warrunner
Disruptor
DisruptorDukalis
57% · 124 games41% · 90 games
ZeusBoxi
Zeus
Riki
Riki9Class
47% · 41 game49% · 71 game
Elder TitaniNSaNiA
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction missed15:37
PARIVISION 57%Team Liquid 43%
The model gave 57% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 36:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainNo[o]ne
45% · 86 games47% · 104 games
Phantom AssassinmiCKe
Phantom Assassin
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightSatanic
50% · 384 games52% · 101 game
EarthshakerNisha
Earthshaker
Bristleback
BristlebackDM
52% · 207 games49% · 256 games
TimbersawSabeRLight-
Timbersaw
Chen
ChenDukalis
59% · 136 games44% · 309 games
BatriderBoxi
Batrider
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter9Class
55% · 49 games48% · 92 games
Elder TitaniNSaNiA
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 61%
Accuracy by game1 of 2