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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 2:0
series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:0
9Pandasloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
4nalog · 30 games
60%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 22 games
73%
Lion
Lion
Scofield · 19 games
58%
Muerta
Muerta
Scofield · 17 games
59%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
4nalog · 16 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Wisper · 16 games
69%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Scofield · 16 games
63%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Davai · 15 games
47%

9Pandas

Tiny
Tinysignature
erase · 28 games
61%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Solo · 21 game
38%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Solo · 21 game
57%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 21 game
62%
Lion
Lion
lupsione · 20 games
55%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
laise · 18 games
61%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
laise · 15 games
47%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Solo · 15 games
47%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
527 picks · 773 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
497 picks · 591 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
496 picks · 537 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
482 picks · 600 bans
49%
Muerta
Muerta
466 picks · 392 bans
50%
Magnus
Magnus
442 picks · 986 bans
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
435 picks · 793 bans
57%
Bristleback
Bristleback
390 picks · 896 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 54%
Hero pool strength53% Heroic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:6
Heroic 71%9Pandas 29%
The model gave 71% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 37:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaYuma
49% · 124 games53% · 110 games
LifestealerV-Tune
Lifestealer
Earthshaker
Earthshaker4nalog
55% · 129 games54% · 231 game
Doomlaise
Doom
Enigma
EnigmaWisper
58% · 179 games47% · 336 games
TinySerenada
Tiny
Muerta
MuertaScofield
47% · 262 games42% · 191 game
Rubicklupsione
Rubick
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonKJ
51% · 348 games45% · 174 games
PugnaSolo
Pugna
Game 2prediction correct42:21
Heroic 69%9Pandas 31%
The model gave 69% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 38:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Spectre
SpectreYuma
54% · 70 games50% · 91 game
LifestealerV-Tune
Lifestealer
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit4nalog
48% · 284 games51% · 108 games
LinaSerenada
Lina
Abaddon
AbaddonWisper
25% · 62 games60% · 259 games
Pangolierlaise
Pangolier
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonKJ
55% · 428 games51% · 221 game
PhoenixSolo
Phoenix
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanScofield
49% · 91 game51% · 256 games
Clockwerklupsione
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 84%
Series resultHeroic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2