BetBoom Streamers Battle 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
LEGENDIloss 1:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:2
FEDERALNAYAwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LEGENDI
Crystal Maiden
sereGGa · 1 game
Marci
Covisnine · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
4IVAN · 1 game
Rubick
D_Mini · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stariy bog · 1 game
FEDERALNAYA
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
529 picks · 769 bans
Clockwerk
499 picks · 554 bans
Tiny
497 picks · 588 bans
Batrider
488 picks · 605 bans
Muerta
473 picks · 397 bans
Magnus
441 picks · 983 bans
Gyrocopter
440 picks · 800 bans
Bristleback
393 picks · 903 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 80%
Hero pool strength56% FEDERALNAYA
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% FEDERALNAYA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:41
LEGENDI 41%FEDERALNAYA 59%
The model gave 59% on FEDERALNAYA — the game was taken by LEGENDI in 36:48.
Game 2prediction correct51:70
LEGENDI 41%FEDERALNAYA 59%
The model gave 59% on FEDERALNAYA — the game was taken by FEDERALNAYA in 1:04:05.
Game 3prediction correct40:53
LEGENDI 41%FEDERALNAYA 59%
The model gave 59% on FEDERALNAYA — the game was taken by FEDERALNAYA in 58:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteFEDERALNAYA · 59%
Series resultFEDERALNAYA 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3