FISSURE Universe: Episode 4. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionWIWhite Icewin 2:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BTBack to Lobbyloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
White Ice
No games played over 6 months.
Back to Lobby
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
529 picks · 769 bans
Clockwerk
499 picks · 554 bans
Tiny
497 picks · 588 bans
Batrider
488 picks · 605 bans
Muerta
473 picks · 397 bans
Magnus
441 picks · 983 bans
Gyrocopter
440 picks · 800 bans
Bristleback
393 picks · 903 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% White Ice
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total55% White Ice
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:37
White Ice 55%Back to Lobby 45%
The model gave 55% on White Ice — the game was taken by Back to Lobby in 33:13.
Game 2prediction missed45:18
White Ice 55%Back to Lobby 45%
The model gave 55% on White Ice — the game was taken by Back to Lobby in 26:38.
Game 3prediction missed36:40
White Ice 55%Back to Lobby 45%
The model gave 55% on White Ice — the game was taken by Back to Lobby in 43:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteWhite Ice · 55%
Series resultWhite Ice 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3