BetBoom Streamers Battle 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
IVPGGloss 1:2series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:2
LEGENDIwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
IVPGG
No games played over 6 months.
LEGENDI
Crystal Maiden
sereGGa · 1 game
Marci
Covisnine · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
4IVAN · 1 game
Rubick
D_Mini · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stariy bog · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
544 picks · 760 bans
Clockwerk
509 picks · 581 bans
Batrider
501 picks · 621 bans
Tiny
496 picks · 585 bans
Muerta
489 picks · 414 bans
Gyrocopter
455 picks · 806 bans
Magnus
453 picks · 996 bans
Pangolier
407 picks · 621 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)78% vs 67%
Hero pool strength56% IVPGG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% IVPGG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:42
IVPGG 62%LEGENDI 38%
The model gave 62% on IVPGG — the game was taken by IVPGG in 32:41.
Game 2prediction missed59:28
IVPGG 62%LEGENDI 38%
The model gave 62% on IVPGG — the game was taken by LEGENDI in 43:51.
Game 3prediction missed57:54
IVPGG 62%LEGENDI 38%
The model gave 62% on IVPGG — the game was taken by LEGENDI in 1:00:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteIVPGG · 62%
Series resultLEGENDI 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3