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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:1
series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Refuserloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Vici Gaming

Windranger
Windranger
shiro · 28 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
shiro · 21 game
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 18 games
39%
Mars
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 18 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 17 games
41%
Jakiro
Jakiro
y` · 15 games
40%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
y` · 14 games
36%
Muerta
Muertasignature
shiro · 13 games
69%

Team Refuser

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Poloson · 7 games
43%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Paparazi · 6 games
17%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Yang · 5 games
40%
Rubick
Rubick
BoBoKa · 5 games
60%
Windranger
Windranger
Monet · 5 games
60%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Pyw · 4 games
50%
Tiny
Tiny
Monet · 4 games
25%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Poloson · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
635 picks · 435 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
567 picks · 314 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
484 picks · 585 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
454 picks · 390 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
440 picks · 655 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
351 picks · 529 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
348 picks · 1031 bans
58%
Tusk
Tusk
345 picks · 297 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:15
Vici Gaming 74%Team Refuser 26%
The model gave 74% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 40:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendshiro
52% · 233 games48% · 330 games
BeastmasterYang
Beastmaster
Pangolier
PangolierXm
43% · 351 game56% · 208 games
MuertaMonet
Muerta
Brewmaster
BrewmasterFaith_bian
45% · 119 games50% · 339 games
Ember SpiritPaparazi
Ember Spirit
Rubick
RubickXinQ
48% · 284 games58% · 139 games
Keeper of the LightBoBoKa
Keeper of the Light
Bane
Baney`
50% · 164 games50% · 135 games
SilencerPoloson
Silencer
Game 2prediction missed30:26
Vici Gaming 71%Team Refuser 29%
The model gave 71% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Team Refuser in 1:09:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainXm
41% · 278 games49% · 357 games
Storm SpiritPaparazi
Storm Spirit
Pangolier
PangolierFaith_bian
40% · 248 games54% · 245 games
Shadow FiendMonet
Shadow Fiend
Alchemist
Alchemistshiro
52% · 66 games55% · 36 games
NecrophosYang
Necrophos
Windranger
WindrangerXinQ
51% · 227 games59% · 136 games
Keeper of the LightBoBoKa
Keeper of the Light
Silencer
Silencery`
41% · 82 games60% · 127 games
LargoPoloson
Largo
Game 3prediction correct29:30
Vici Gaming 73%Team Refuser 27%
The model gave 73% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 1:04:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawFaith_bian
48% · 182 games54% · 36 games
Drow RangerMonet
Drow Ranger
Tiny
Tinyshiro
50% · 277 games48% · 267 games
Storm SpiritPaparazi
Storm Spirit
Sniper
SniperXm
49% · 29 games52% · 92 games
UndyingYang
Undying
Earthshaker
EarthshakerXinQ
49% · 103 games50% · 89 games
SilencerPoloson
Silencer
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitiony`
53% · 33 games50% · 140 games
RubickBoBoKa
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 88%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3