BetBoom Streamers Battle 9 · BO1
result vs prediction
DEVO4KIloss 0:1series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:1
IVPGGwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
DEVO4KI
No games played over 6 months.
IVPGG
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
531 picks · 726 bans
Clockwerk
493 picks · 572 bans
Batrider
487 picks · 612 bans
Muerta
482 picks · 411 bans
Tiny
475 picks · 575 bans
Gyrocopter
445 picks · 801 bans
Magnus
443 picks · 977 bans
Lion
399 picks · 230 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 75%
Hero pool strength50% DEVO4KI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% IVPGG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:43
DEVO4KI 24%IVPGG 76%
The model gave 76% on IVPGG — the game was taken by IVPGG in 28:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteIVPGG · 76%
Series resultIVPGG 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1