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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Cloud Risingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Vici Gaming

Windranger
Windranger
shiro · 27 games
48%
Tiny
Tinysignature
shiro · 20 games
60%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 18 games
39%
Mars
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 18 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 17 games
41%
Jakiro
Jakiro
y` · 15 games
40%
Muerta
Muertasignature
shiro · 13 games
69%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
y` · 13 games
31%

Cloud Rising

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Q7 · 7 games
29%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Ice Coke · 5 games
40%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
谢乐zzz张泽中 · 5 games
60%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Yumeyume · 4 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Ice Coke · 3 games
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Q7 · 3 games
67%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
sheep · 3 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Q7 · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
636 picks · 435 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
567 picks · 314 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
484 picks · 585 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
455 picks · 390 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
440 picks · 654 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
351 picks · 530 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
349 picks · 1031 bans
58%
Tusk
Tusk
344 picks · 299 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 43%
Hero pool strength51% Cloud Rising
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:6
Vici Gaming 82%Cloud Rising 18%
The model gave 82% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 29:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
Windrangershiro
50% · 267 games54% · 302 games
UrsaYumeyume
Ursa
Snapfire
SnapfireXm
49% · 368 games50% · 385 games
Storm SpiritQ7
Storm Spirit
Axe
AxeFaith_bian
52% · 301 game54% · 161 game
Primal BeastIce Coke
Primal Beast
Earthshaker
EarthshakerXinQ
54% · 132 games43% · 482 games
Tusksheep
Tusk
Phoenix
Phoenixy`
50% · 340 games44% · 78 games
Winter Wyvern谢乐zzz张泽中
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction correct33:14
Vici Gaming 82%Cloud Rising 18%
The model gave 82% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 38:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
Tinyshiro
46% · 471 game54% · 197 games
BeastmasterIce Coke
Beastmaster
Sniper
SniperXm
48% · 60 games49% · 161 game
Queen of PainQ7
Queen of Pain
Largo
LargoFaith_bian
56% · 193 games51% · 45 games
Drow RangerYumeyume
Drow Ranger
Lion
LionXinQ
53% · 192 games51% · 330 games
Hoodwinksheep
Hoodwink
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitiony`
49% · 47 games43% · 230 games
Phoenix谢乐zzz张泽中
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 95%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2