BetBoom Streamers Battle 9 · BO1
result vs prediction
MOPSIKIwin 1:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:0
BUDKAloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MOPSIKI
No games played over 6 months.
BUDKA
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
522 picks · 704 bans
Clockwerk
485 picks · 559 bans
Batrider
477 picks · 602 bans
Muerta
477 picks · 404 bans
Tiny
466 picks · 562 bans
Gyrocopter
437 picks · 796 bans
Magnus
432 picks · 962 bans
Lion
394 picks · 230 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% MOPSIKI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% BUDKA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:25
MOPSIKI 46%BUDKA 54%
The model gave 54% on BUDKA — the game was taken by MOPSIKI in 42:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteBUDKA · 54%
Series resultMOPSIKI 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1