BetBoom Streamers Battle 9 · BO1
result vs prediction
CASTINGloss 0:1series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:1
IVPGGwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CASTING
No games played over 6 months.
IVPGG
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
519 picks · 700 bans
Clockwerk
481 picks · 560 bans
Batrider
477 picks · 601 bans
Muerta
477 picks · 404 bans
Tiny
461 picks · 562 bans
Gyrocopter
437 picks · 795 bans
Magnus
433 picks · 957 bans
Lion
396 picks · 231 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 71%
Hero pool strength50% CASTING
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% IVPGG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:32
CASTING 28%IVPGG 72%
The model gave 72% on IVPGG — the game was taken by IVPGG in 37:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteIVPGG · 72%
Series resultIVPGG 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1