BetBoom Streamers Battle 9 · BO1
result vs prediction
FEDERALNAYAwin 1:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:0
DEPRESSED KIDSloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
FEDERALNAYA
No games played over 6 months.
DEPRESSED KIDS
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
507 picks · 688 bans
Muerta
480 picks · 405 bans
Batrider
472 picks · 596 bans
Clockwerk
471 picks · 567 bans
Tiny
454 picks · 540 bans
Gyrocopter
435 picks · 799 bans
Magnus
425 picks · 949 bans
Lion
398 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% FEDERALNAYA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% FEDERALNAYA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:53
FEDERALNAYA 56%DEPRESSED KIDS 44%
The model gave 56% on FEDERALNAYA — the game was taken by FEDERALNAYA in 42:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteFEDERALNAYA · 56%
Series resultFEDERALNAYA 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1