BetBoom Streamers Battle 9 · BO1
result vs prediction
UNLUCKwin 1:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:0
DEVO4KIloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
UNLUCK
No games played over 6 months.
DEVO4KI
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
502 picks · 680 bans
Muerta
477 picks · 408 bans
Batrider
467 picks · 595 bans
Clockwerk
464 picks · 567 bans
Tiny
451 picks · 529 bans
Gyrocopter
432 picks · 798 bans
Magnus
420 picks · 943 bans
Lion
399 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% UNLUCK
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% DEVO4KI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:26
UNLUCK 46%DEVO4KI 54%
The model gave 54% on DEVO4KI — the game was taken by UNLUCK in 40:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteDEVO4KI · 54%
Series resultUNLUCK 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1