?
arrow_backBack to match
The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Hokoriwin 2:0
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
x5 Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hokori

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Genek · 7 games
43%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Vitaly · 4 games
25%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Gardick · 4 games
0%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Lumière · 4 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Gardick · 4 games
50%
Windranger
Windranger
Lumière · 4 games
25%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Vitaly · 3 games
67%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Gardick · 3 games
100%

x5 Gaming

Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Hermit · 7 games
57%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Pamplona · 6 games
33%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Hermit · 3 games
0%
Chen
Chenoften banned
555k · 3 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Hermit · 2 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
555k · 2 games
0%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Pamplona · 2 games
100%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Hermit · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
635 picks · 435 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
565 picks · 313 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
482 picks · 587 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
454 picks · 391 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
435 picks · 653 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
352 picks · 1025 bans
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
350 picks · 529 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
343 picks · 300 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Hokori
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:18
Hokori 59%x5 Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 39:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyLumière
41% · 84 games58% · 237 games
Kezmini-`
Kez
Dark Seer
Dark SeerVitaly
50% · 4 games
Pangolier
PangolierBenjimon
43% · 47 games
Hoodwink
HoodwinkAsao
55% · 85 games
Lich
LichGardick
29% · 17 games
Game 2prediction correct37:37
Hokori 60%x5 Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 43:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackVitaly
52% · 27 games52% · 186 games
Invokermini-`
Invoker
Windranger
WindrangerLumière
50% · 26 games
Void Spirit
Void SpiritBenjimon
50% · 44 games
Tiny
TinyAsao
40% · 61 game
Phoenix
PhoenixGardick
50% · 28 games
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 73%
Series resultHokori 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2