FISSURE Universe: Episode 4. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionLFLooking for Orgloss 0:2
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TTeamCompromisowin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Looking for Org
Batrideroften banned
Matthew · 9 games
Gyrocoptersignature
payk · 8 games
Beastmastersignature
Vitaly · 7 games
Clockwerksignature
Yadomi · 7 games
Earthshaker
PiPi · 7 games
Phoenixoften banned
Yadomi · 7 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Vitaly · 6 games
Ogre Magi
Yadomi · 6 games
TeamCompromiso
Zeus
Panda · 4 games
Beastmasteroften banned
DaaD- · 2 games
Muerta
Genek · 2 games
Tidehunteroften banned
kendallx · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
Genek · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
Dark Willow
Genek · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
kendallx · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
499 picks · 662 bans
Muerta
474 picks · 406 bans
Batrider
462 picks · 592 bans
Clockwerk
460 picks · 566 bans
Tiny
445 picks · 518 bans
Gyrocopter
425 picks · 795 bans
Magnus
415 picks · 936 bans
Lion
397 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 67%
Hero pool strength52% Looking for Org
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Looking for Org
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:38
Looking for Org 52%TeamCompromiso 48%
The model gave 52% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by TeamCompromiso in 43:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristlebackpayk
BeastmasterDaaD-
DawnbreakerVitaly
Lycankendallx
Earth SpiritPiPi
Bounty HunterGenek
MuertaMatthew
ZeusPanda
GyrocopterYadomi
Game 2prediction missed7:27
Looking for Org 53%TeamCompromiso 47%
The model gave 53% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by TeamCompromiso in 30:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassinpayk
BeastmasterDaaD-
BristlebackVitaly
Legion Commanderkendallx
MagnusPiPi
ZeusPanda
BatriderMatthew
Shadow ShamanGenek
GyrocopterYadomi
Model check result
Model favoriteLooking for Org · 51%
Series resultTeamCompromiso 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2