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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 2:0
series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Vici Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Tiny
Tinysignature
BoBoKa · 20 games
65%
Muerta
Muertasignature
BoBoKa · 14 games
64%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Moon · 13 games
46%
Jakiro
Jakiro
天命 · 12 games
42%
Largo
Largooften banned
天命 · 12 games
42%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Moon · 12 games
25%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
天命 · 12 games
58%
Weaver
Weaversignature
flyfly · 12 games
75%

Vici Gaming

Windranger
Windranger
shiro · 27 games
48%
Tiny
Tinysignature
shiro · 19 games
63%
Mars
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 18 games
61%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 17 games
41%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 17 games
41%
Jakiro
Jakiro
y` · 15 games
40%
Muerta
Muertasignature
shiro · 13 games
69%
Rubick
Rubick
XinQ · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
637 picks · 434 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
562 picks · 313 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
483 picks · 588 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
457 picks · 391 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
436 picks · 652 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
351 picks · 1025 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
350 picks · 532 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
341 picks · 302 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 55%
Hero pool strength52% Yakult Brothers
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total80% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:36
Yakult Brothers 33%Vici Gaming 67%
The model gave 67% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 1:16:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladelou
52% · 190 games51% · 480 games
Tinyshiro
Tiny
Puck
PuckSetsu
53% · 326 games48% · 105 games
Dark SeerFaith_bian
Dark Seer
Tidehunter
TidehunterXiangyu
50% · 222 games54% · 458 games
SlardarXm
Slardar
Rubick
RubickKaka
47% · 178 games42% · 48 games
MiranaXinQ
Mirana
Phoenix
Phoenix天命
51% · 253 games51% · 78 games
Winter Wyverny`
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction missed30:12
Yakult Brothers 35%Vici Gaming 65%
The model gave 65% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 36:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
Weaverlou
50% · 145 games60% · 53 games
Morphlingshiro
Morphling
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritSetsu
50% · 467 games52% · 212 games
BeastmasterFaith_bian
Beastmaster
Brewmaster
BrewmasterXiangyu
42% · 134 games47% · 209 games
Queen of PainXm
Queen of Pain
Mirana
Mirana天命
49% · 62 games55% · 287 games
HoodwinkXinQ
Hoodwink
Lion
LionKaka
49% · 174 games48% · 221 game
Phoenixy`
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 80%
Series resultYakult Brothers 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2