BetBoom Streamers Battle 9 · BO1
result vs prediction
IVPGGwin 1:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:0
H4NNI BUNNYloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
IVPGG
No games played over 6 months.
H4NNI BUNNY
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
499 picks · 662 bans
Muerta
474 picks · 406 bans
Batrider
462 picks · 591 bans
Clockwerk
460 picks · 566 bans
Tiny
445 picks · 517 bans
Gyrocopter
425 picks · 795 bans
Magnus
415 picks · 936 bans
Lion
397 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% IVPGG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% IVPGG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:26
IVPGG 51%H4NNI BUNNY 49%
The model gave 51% on IVPGG — the game was taken by IVPGG in 29:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteIVPGG · 51%
Series resultIVPGG 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1