BetBoom Streamers Battle 9 · BO1
result vs prediction
FEDERALNAYAwin 1:0series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 1:0
MOPSIKIloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
FEDERALNAYA
No games played over 6 months.
MOPSIKI
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
499 picks · 659 bans
Muerta
474 picks · 404 bans
Batrider
462 picks · 590 bans
Clockwerk
460 picks · 566 bans
Tiny
445 picks · 517 bans
Gyrocopter
425 picks · 795 bans
Magnus
415 picks · 935 bans
Lion
397 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% FEDERALNAYA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% MOPSIKI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:10
FEDERALNAYA 34%MOPSIKI 66%
The model gave 66% on MOPSIKI — the game was taken by FEDERALNAYA in 28:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOPSIKI · 66%
Series resultFEDERALNAYA 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1