European Pro League Season 38 · BO3
result vs predictionGG-Timeloss 0:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Hive-win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G-Time
No games played over 6 months.
Hive-
Rubick
xsvampire · 7 games
Ringmaster
slimeyao · 6 games
Tiny
byun · 6 games
Hoodwink
slimeyao · 5 games
Phoenixoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 5 games
Enchantressoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 4 games
Chenoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 3 games
Kezoften banned
byun · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
638 picks · 434 bans
Rubick
562 picks · 313 bans
Phoenix
486 picks · 588 bans
Tiny
460 picks · 393 bans
Pangolier
435 picks · 653 bans
Puck
353 picks · 1024 bans
Ember Spirit
349 picks · 536 bans
Tusk
343 picks · 303 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 33%
Hero pool strength58% G-Time
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% G-Time
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
G-Time 56%Hive- 44%
The model gave 56% on G-Time — the game was taken by Hive-.
Model check result
Model favoriteG-Time · 56%
Series resultHive- 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1