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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 0:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Nemesiswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hokori

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Genek · 7 games
43%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Gardick · 4 games
0%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Lumière · 4 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Gardick · 4 games
50%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Gardick · 3 games
33%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Vitaly · 3 games
67%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Gardick · 3 games
100%
Largo
Largooften banned
Vitaly · 3 games
33%

Team Nemesis

Tiny
Tinysignature
rubikon155 · 24 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Mac · 17 games
53%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Jabz · 17 games
59%
Windranger
Windranger
Q · 17 games
53%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
23savage · 15 games
40%
Tusk
Tusk
Jhocam · 15 games
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Mac · 14 games
64%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Jhocam · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
637 picks · 435 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
559 picks · 313 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
486 picks · 588 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
458 picks · 395 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
435 picks · 651 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
351 picks · 1022 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
347 picks · 534 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
342 picks · 304 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 58%
Hero pool strength54% Team Nemesis
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total68% Team Nemesis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:44
Hokori 38%Team Nemesis 62%
The model gave 62% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Team Nemesis in 31:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerLumière
44% · 71 game57% · 209 games
Doomrubikon155
Doom
Axe
AxeVitaly
44% · 291 game56% · 370 games
Puck4nalog
Puck
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritBenjimon
50% · 390 games58% · 71 game
LycanJabz
Lycan
Windranger
WindrangerAsao
43% · 259 games49% · 398 games
HoodwinkLelis
Hoodwink
Enchantress
EnchantressGardick
40% · 219 games60% · 182 games
BaneYamSun
Bane
Game 2prediction correct3:32
Hokori 39%Team Nemesis 61%
The model gave 61% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Team Nemesis in 29:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetLumière
61% · 102 games48% · 52 games
Sniper4nalog
Sniper
Puck
PuckBenjimon
51% · 345 games44% · 461 game
Tinyrubikon155
Tiny
Underlord
UnderlordVitaly
50% · 196 games52% · 348 games
SlardarJabz
Slardar
Rubick
RubickAsao
46% · 234 games53% · 139 games
Keeper of the LightLelis
Keeper of the Light
Phoenix
PhoenixGardick
48% · 254 games50% · 131 game
LichYamSun
Lich
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Nemesis · 68%
Series resultTeam Nemesis 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2