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FISSURE Universe: Episode 4. Закрытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
9Pandaswin 1:0
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 1:0
РАБОТЯГИloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Tiny
Tinysignature
erase · 22 games
64%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Solo · 21 game
57%
Lion
Lion
lupsione · 19 games
58%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 17 games
71%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
laise · 14 games
43%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Solo · 12 games
17%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
jesv · 12 games
42%
Muerta
Muerta
jesv · 12 games
42%

РАБОТЯГИ

Lion
Lion
lupsione · 4 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Mirele · 4 games
25%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
lupsione · 4 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
zvёzd · 3 games
100%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 3 games
33%
Muerta
Muerta
lupsione · 3 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Mirele · 3 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
asdekor_r · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
475 picks · 609 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
461 picks · 397 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
456 picks · 568 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
436 picks · 542 bans
56%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
420 picks · 780 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
420 picks · 486 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
404 picks · 901 bans
59%
Lion
Lion
394 picks · 233 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:12
9Pandas 74%РАБОТЯГИ 26%
The model gave 74% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 36:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinV-Tune
44% · 104 games45% · 28 games
Bloodseekerssnovv1
Bloodseeker
Earthshaker
Earthshakererase
57% · 94 games53% · 34 games
Slardarspirit
Slardar
Dark Seer
Dark Seerlaise
51% · 165 games47% · 213 games
TinyMirele
Tiny
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinlupsione
59% · 146 games54% · 164 games
Phoenixasdekor_r
Phoenix
Undying
UndyingSolo
46% · 49 games42% · 119 games
Dark WillowSomnia
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 86%
Series result9Pandas 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1