FISSURE Universe: Episode 4. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTLTeam leook223win 2:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SSouLessloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team leook223
No games played over 6 months.
SouLess
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
472 picks · 604 bans
Muerta
461 picks · 396 bans
Batrider
454 picks · 565 bans
Clockwerk
432 picks · 540 bans
Gyrocopter
419 picks · 780 bans
Tiny
415 picks · 484 bans
Magnus
403 picks · 898 bans
Lion
394 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team leook223
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Team leook223
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team leook223 50%SouLess 50%
The model gave 50% on Team leook223 — the game was taken by SouLess.
Game 2prediction correct
Team leook223 50%SouLess 50%
The model gave 50% on Team leook223 — the game was taken by Team leook223.
Game 3prediction correct
Team leook223 50%SouLess 50%
The model gave 50% on Team leook223 — the game was taken by Team leook223.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam leook223 · 50%
Series resultTeam leook223 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3