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BLAST Slam II · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brothersloss 0:2
series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Falconswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
BoBoKa · 26 games
62%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
BoBoKa · 21 game
43%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 20 games
65%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Emo · 18 games
67%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
69%
Muerta
Muertasignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
63%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 16 games
75%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 15 games
60%

Team Falcons

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 41 game
66%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
ATF · 40 games
57%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 38 games
92%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 35 games
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 34 games
65%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Cr1t- · 26 games
62%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 26 games
73%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Skiter · 24 games
79%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
472 picks · 602 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
461 picks · 397 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
453 picks · 564 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
430 picks · 541 bans
56%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
419 picks · 780 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
414 picks · 483 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
403 picks · 896 bans
59%
Lion
Lion
396 picks · 233 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 59%
Hero pool strength55% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct4:21
Yakult Brothers 36%Team Falcons 64%
The model gave 64% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 17:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
Bristlebackzeal
60% · 174 games57% · 54 games
HuskarMalr1ne
Huskar
Monkey King
Monkey KingAme
59% · 178 games45% · 441 game
PangolierATF
Pangolier
Puck
PuckEmo
52% · 215 games44% · 26 games
AbaddonSkiter
Abaddon
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi天命
53% · 108 games47% · 412 games
ClockwerkCr1t-
Clockwerk
Batrider
BatriderBoBoKa
49% · 347 games37% · 89 games
ZeusSneyking
Zeus
Game 2prediction correct15:32
Yakult Brothers 33%Team Falcons 67%
The model gave 67% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 32:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorEmo
59% · 127 games41% · 136 games
LinaMalr1ne
Lina
Abaddon
AbaddonAme
48% · 11 games48% · 418 games
TinyATF
Tiny
Doom
Doomzeal
53% · 241 game55% · 168 games
BristlebackSkiter
Bristleback
Clockwerk
ClockwerkBoBoKa
49% · 296 games49% · 133 games
ZeusSneyking
Zeus
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden天命
46% · 191 game50% · 11 games
RikiCr1t-
Riki
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 80%
Series resultTeam Falcons 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2