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FISSURE Universe: Episode 4. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticosloss 1:2
series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Young Bloodwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yangon Galacticos

Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 7 games
14%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
25%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
25%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
33%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
67%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
33%

Young Blood

Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
LOyd · 3 games
33%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
dalul · 2 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
TraVins · 2 games
50%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
Red · 2 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
TraVins · 2 games
50%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
Red · 2 games
100%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
LOyd · 2 games
100%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
dalul · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
471 picks · 593 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
463 picks · 398 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
454 picks · 560 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
430 picks · 534 bans
56%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
419 picks · 777 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
416 picks · 477 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
402 picks · 886 bans
59%
Lion
Lion
396 picks · 233 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 42%
Hero pool strength58% Young Blood
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:41
Yangon Galacticos 81%Young Blood 19%
The model gave 81% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Young Blood in 57:59.
Game 2prediction correct28:16
Yangon Galacticos 81%Young Blood 19%
The model gave 81% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 28:48.
Game 3prediction missed15:31
Yangon Galacticos 81%Young Blood 19%
The model gave 81% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Young Blood in 33:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 81%
Series resultYoung Blood 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3