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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Red Hot Chili Pibbleloss 0:2
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Amaru Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Red Hot Chili Pibble

Disruptor
Disruptor
Prada · 3 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
Alone · 3 games
100%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
Alone · 3 games
67%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Mnz · 2 games
0%
Bane
Bane
Prada · 1 game
0%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Mjz · 1 game
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Mjz · 1 game
100%
Luna
Luna
Mnz · 1 game
100%

Amaru Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Michael · 11 games
55%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Oscar · 8 games
63%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Gardick · 8 games
50%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Oscar · 6 games
17%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Oscar · 5 games
60%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Oscar · 5 games
40%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Gardick · 5 games
40%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Wits · 5 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
637 picks · 435 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
558 picks · 313 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
486 picks · 588 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
458 picks · 395 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
435 picks · 650 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
351 picks · 1021 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
347 picks · 534 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
342 picks · 304 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 54%
Hero pool strength53% Red Hot Chili Pibble
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% Amaru Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:29
Red Hot Chili Pibble 36%Amaru Gaming 64%
The model gave 64% on Amaru Gaming — the game was taken by Amaru Gaming in 34:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaMnz
52% · 296 games44% · 134 games
TerrorbladeK1
Terrorblade
Void Spirit
Void SpiritAlone
48% · 315 games50% · 268 games
Storm SpiritPiPi
Storm Spirit
Venomancer
VenomancerPrada
63% · 113 games48% · 151 game
UnderlordOscar
Underlord
Clockwerk
ClockwerkMjz
51% · 240 games42% · 249 games
JakiroPanda
Jakiro
48% · 162 games
RubickGenek
Rubick
Game 2prediction correct
Red Hot Chili Pibble 23%Amaru Gaming 77%
The model gave 77% on Amaru Gaming — the game was taken by Amaru Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteAmaru Gaming · 77%
Series resultAmaru Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2