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FISSURE Universe: Episode 4. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
the goal of all life is deathwin 2:0
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Spiky Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

the goal of all life is death

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
GaN- · 3 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
GaN- · 1 game
100%
Huskar
Huskaroften banned
GaN- · 1 game
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
GaN- · 1 game
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
GaN- · 1 game
0%

Spiky Gaming

Muerta
Muerta
TK · 15 games
27%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Hara · 9 games
56%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
生死 · 8 games
25%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
生死 · 8 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
生死 · 8 games
38%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 8 games
13%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
TK · 7 games
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
468 picks · 397 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
467 picks · 582 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
450 picks · 556 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
430 picks · 533 bans
56%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
417 picks · 774 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
415 picks · 464 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
400 picks · 874 bans
59%
Lion
Lion
399 picks · 232 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 48%
Hero pool strength56% the goal of all life is death
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Spiky Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
the goal of all life is death 45%Spiky Gaming 55%
The model gave 55% on Spiky Gaming — the game was taken by the goal of all life is death.
Game 2prediction missed
the goal of all life is death 45%Spiky Gaming 55%
The model gave 55% on Spiky Gaming — the game was taken by the goal of all life is death.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpiky Gaming · 55%
Series resultthe goal of all life is death 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2