FISSURE Universe: Episode 4. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionTDTeam dldloss 0:2
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TGthe goal of all life is deathwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team dld
No games played over 6 months.
the goal of all life is death
Tinyoften banned
GaN- · 3 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
GaN- · 1 game
Huskaroften banned
GaN- · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
GaN- · 1 game
Puckoften banned
GaN- · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
468 picks · 397 bans
Phoenix
468 picks · 581 bans
Batrider
450 picks · 556 bans
Clockwerk
432 picks · 534 bans
Gyrocopter
417 picks · 773 bans
Tiny
415 picks · 463 bans
Lion
400 picks · 232 bans
Magnus
400 picks · 874 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength52% the goal of all life is death
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% the goal of all life is death
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team dld 33%the goal of all life is death 67%
The model gave 67% on the goal of all life is death — the game was taken by the goal of all life is death.
Game 2prediction correct
Team dld 33%the goal of all life is death 67%
The model gave 67% on the goal of all life is death — the game was taken by the goal of all life is death.
Model check result
Model favoritethe goal of all life is death · 67%
Series resultthe goal of all life is death 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2