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BLAST Slam II · BO1
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 1:0
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Falconsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 24 games
79%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 20 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 20 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 18 games
56%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 17 games
82%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 17 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 17 games
65%
Razor
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 17 games
76%

Team Falcons

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 41 game
66%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
ATF · 40 games
57%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 37 games
95%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 34 games
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 33 games
67%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Cr1t- · 26 games
62%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 26 games
73%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Skiter · 24 games
79%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
469 picks · 397 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
467 picks · 581 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
451 picks · 556 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
433 picks · 533 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
417 picks · 773 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
414 picks · 464 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
402 picks · 232 bans
54%
Magnus
Magnus
399 picks · 874 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 57%
Hero pool strength51% Team Falcons
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total66% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:38
PARIVISION 41%Team Falcons 59%
The model gave 59% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 47:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinSatanic
42% · 75 games52% · 29 games
LycanSkiter
Lycan
Magnus
MagnusNo[o]ne
50% · 167 games48% · 32 games
ViperATF
Viper
Bristleback
BristlebackDM
55% · 146 games49% · 17 games
Bounty HunterCr1t-
Bounty Hunter
Dazzle
DazzleDukalis
55% · 26 games49% · 203 games
TinyMalr1ne
Tiny
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker9Class
46% · 33 games52% · 166 games
PhoenixSneyking
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 66%
Series resultPARIVISION 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1