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BLAST Slam II · BO1
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxywin 1:0
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PARIVISIONloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
GH · 22 games
68%
Mars
Marssignature
No!ob · 21 game
67%
Sniper
Snipersignature
SumaiL · 19 games
79%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
GH · 18 games
33%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 17 games
47%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
No!ob · 16 games
56%
Lion
Lionsignature
OmaR · 15 games
73%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
OmaR · 15 games
53%

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 24 games
79%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 19 games
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 19 games
74%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 17 games
59%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 17 games
82%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 17 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 17 games
65%
Razor
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 17 games
76%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
470 picks · 398 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
467 picks · 575 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
450 picks · 553 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
431 picks · 529 bans
56%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
416 picks · 771 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
414 picks · 459 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
403 picks · 232 bans
54%
Magnus
Magnus
398 picks · 870 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total76% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:24
Nigma Galaxy 36%PARIVISION 64%
The model gave 64% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 36:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingGhost
46% · 387 games54% · 226 games
AlchemistSatanic
Alchemist
Earthshaker
EarthshakerSumaiL
50% · 109 games54% · 231 game
PuckNo[o]ne
Puck
Bristleback
BristlebackNo!ob
50% · 284 games48% · 300 games
BeastmasterDM
Beastmaster
Pugna
PugnaGH
52% · 218 games54% · 279 games
EnchantressDukalis
Enchantress
Tusk
TuskOmaR
43% · 415 games48% · 377 games
Clockwerk9Class
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 76%
Series resultNigma Galaxy 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1