BLAST Slam II · BO1
result vs prediction
Talon Esportswin 1:0series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 1:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Talon Esports
Clockwerksignature
Jhocam · 30 games
Snipersignature
Mikoto · 26 games
Phoenixsignature
Kuku · 25 games
Batrideroften banned
Jhocam · 21 game
Bristlebackoften banned
Ws · 19 games
Doomsignature
Ws · 19 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mikoto · 19 games
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 19 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Muertasignature
Save- · 29 games
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
Batridersignature
Save- · 24 games
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 20 games
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 19 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Pure~ · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
469 picks · 398 bans
Phoenix
466 picks · 575 bans
Batrider
450 picks · 552 bans
Clockwerk
430 picks · 529 bans
Gyrocopter
415 picks · 771 bans
Tiny
413 picks · 459 bans
Lion
403 picks · 232 bans
Magnus
398 picks · 869 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 61%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 4
Model total70% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:6
Talon Esports 40%BETBOOM TEAM 60%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 31:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterNatsumi
LycanMieRo
TinyMikoto
SlarkPure~
TimbersawWs
Monkey KinggpK~
ClockwerkJhocam
EnchantressTORONTOTOKYO
PhoenixKuku
MuertaSave-
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 70%
Series resultTalon Esports 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1