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BLAST Slam II · BO1
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 1:0
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Talon Esportsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
BoBoKa · 26 games
62%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
BoBoKa · 21 game
43%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 19 games
63%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Emo · 18 games
67%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
69%
Muerta
Muertasignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
63%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 16 games
75%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 15 games
60%

Talon Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Jhocam · 30 games
70%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kuku · 25 games
64%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Mikoto · 25 games
68%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Jhocam · 20 games
45%
Doom
Doomsignature
Ws · 19 games
68%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mikoto · 19 games
47%
Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 19 games
79%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Ws · 18 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
468 picks · 398 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
465 picks · 572 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
449 picks · 550 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
429 picks · 528 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
414 picks · 771 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
411 picks · 457 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
403 picks · 232 bans
54%
Magnus
Magnus
398 picks · 866 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 67%
Hero pool strength52% Talon Esports
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total60% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:34
Yakult Brothers 43%Talon Esports 57%
The model gave 57% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 47:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakerzeal
42% · 170 games57% · 189 games
BristlebackWs
Bristleback
Beastmaster
BeastmasterAme
43% · 321 game56% · 85 games
SniperMikoto
Sniper
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritEmo
53% · 229 games51% · 381 game
TinyNatsumi
Tiny
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanBoBoKa
55% · 80 games55% · 171 game
PugnaKuku
Pugna
Phoenix
Phoenix天命
48% · 369 games46% · 343 games
BatriderJhocam
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 60%
Series resultYakult Brothers 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1