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BLAST Slam II · BO1
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONloss 0:1
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 24 games
79%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 19 games
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 19 games
74%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 17 games
59%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 17 games
82%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 17 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 17 games
65%
Razor
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 17 games
76%

Gaimin Gladiators

Muerta
Muertasignature
tOfu · 26 games
62%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 15 games
33%
Mirana
Mirana
tOfu · 15 games
53%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Watson · 14 games
57%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Quinn · 14 games
57%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
43%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Ace · 13 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
468 picks · 399 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
464 picks · 572 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
449 picks · 551 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
429 picks · 527 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
415 picks · 772 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
411 picks · 457 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
403 picks · 232 bans
54%
Magnus
Magnus
399 picks · 867 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 53%
Hero pool strength61% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total67% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:38
PARIVISION 61%Gaimin Gladiators 39%
The model gave 61% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 33:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinSatanic
48% · 153 games59% · 31 game
BloodseekerWatson
Bloodseeker
Phoenix
PhoenixDM
47% · 265 games43% · 346 games
PangolierAce
Pangolier
Monkey King
Monkey KingNo[o]ne
60% · 169 games47% · 20 games
HuskarQuinn
Huskar
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker9Class
51% · 36 games45% · 212 games
Dark WillowtOfu
Dark Willow
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiDukalis
60% · 122 games47% · 136 games
LichSeleri
Lich
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 67%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1