?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam II · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:1
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Tundra Esportswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 29 games
76%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 23 games
65%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
73%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 20 games
75%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 19 games
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Pure~ · 17 games
65%

Tundra Esports

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 32 games
63%
Tusk
Tusk
Whitemon · 32 games
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Whitemon · 31 game
61%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 30 games
77%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
33 · 26 games
62%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Whitemon · 24 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 24 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
33 · 23 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
468 picks · 399 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
464 picks · 571 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
448 picks · 551 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
429 picks · 526 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
414 picks · 772 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
411 picks · 456 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
403 picks · 232 bans
54%
Magnus
Magnus
399 picks · 866 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 72%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head4 – 7
Model total67% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:30
BETBOOM TEAM 40%Tundra Esports 60%
The model gave 60% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 31:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerPure~
50% · 179 games49% · 510 games
Gyrocopterdyrachyo
Gyrocopter
Pangolier
PangoliergpK~
43% · 410 games45% · 359 games
Beastmaster33
Beastmaster
Bristleback
BristlebackMieRo
54% · 205 games52% · 305 games
Storm Spiritbzm
Storm Spirit
Enchantress
EnchantressTORONTOTOKYO
46% · 230 games60% · 197 games
ChenWhitemon
Chen
Batrider
BatriderSave-
45% · 371 game62% · 24 games
RikiSaksa
Riki
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 67%
Series resultTundra Esports 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1