BLAST Slam II · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Muertasignature
Save- · 29 games
Tuskoften banned
Kataomi · 26 games
Batridersignature
Save- · 23 games
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 20 games
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 19 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Pure~ · 16 games
Yakult Brothers
Clockwerkoften banned
BoBoKa · 24 games
Enchantressoften banned
BoBoKa · 21 game
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 19 games
Invokersignature
Emo · 18 games
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
Muertasignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
Pucksignature
Emo · 15 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
469 picks · 400 bans
Phoenix
463 picks · 567 bans
Batrider
445 picks · 549 bans
Clockwerk
425 picks · 528 bans
Gyrocopter
413 picks · 772 bans
Tiny
411 picks · 453 bans
Lion
404 picks · 232 bans
Magnus
399 picks · 861 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 61%
Hero pool strength55% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total86% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed5:42
BETBOOM TEAM 69%Yakult Brothers 31%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 26:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterPure~
BeastmasterAme
Dragon KnightgpK~
RazorEmo
AbaddonMieRo
Bristlebackzeal
Ogre MagiTORONTOTOKYO
ClockwerkBoBoKa
IoSave-
Elder Titan天命
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 86%
Series resultYakult Brothers 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1