Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
11Monkeyzwin 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GGUBINA13loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
11Monkeyz
No games played over 6 months.
GUBINA13
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 3 games
Enchantressoften banned
Yuragi · 2 games
Arc Warden
Alberkaaa · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
Alberkaaa · 1 game
Clockwerk
HappyDyurara · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
HappyDyurara · 1 game
Faceless Voidoften banned
Alberkaaa · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
579 picks · 443 bans
Puck
409 picks · 873 bans
Mars
388 picks · 600 bans
Dragon Knight
365 picks · 476 bans
Snapfire
346 picks · 177 bans
Bane
328 picks · 221 bans
Ember Spirit
303 picks · 581 bans
Dawnbreaker
298 picks · 352 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% 11Monkeyz
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% 11Monkeyz
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:13
11Monkeyz 59%GUBINA13 41%
The model gave 59% on 11Monkeyz — the game was taken by GUBINA13 in 21:34.
Game 2prediction missed34:9
11Monkeyz 59%GUBINA13 41%
The model gave 59% on 11Monkeyz — the game was taken by GUBINA13 in 22:13.
Model check result
Model favorite11Monkeyz · 59%
Series result11Monkeyz 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2