Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 14 · BO3
result vs prediction
11Monkeyzloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARI PARNIwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
11Monkeyz
No games played over 6 months.
PARI PARNI
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
716 picks · 531 bans
Puck
509 picks · 1011 bans
Dawnbreaker
441 picks · 559 bans
Marci
416 picks · 749 bans
Snapfire
367 picks · 194 bans
Winter Wyvern
347 picks · 365 bans
Zeus
311 picks · 353 bans
Razor
300 picks · 610 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% 11Monkeyz
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% 11Monkeyz
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:13
11Monkeyz 50%PARI PARNI 50%
The model gave 50% on 11Monkeyz — the game was taken by PARI PARNI in 35:05.
Game 2prediction missed38:16
11Monkeyz 50%PARI PARNI 50%
The model gave 50% on 11Monkeyz — the game was taken by PARI PARNI in 28:21.
Model check result
Model favorite11Monkeyz · 50%
Series resultPARI PARNI 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2